If we want to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is a good sports to begin with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers and some nice guaranteed profitable bets can be purchased if you know when and where to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your hard earned money from you and there are numerous inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in lots of ways be about timing. The quicker the price appears the more likely there will be a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do plenty of research as soccer has now turn into a big earner on their behalf. They should do that because they are only too conscious of the serious punters are becoming much shrewder in this market and definately will exploit any snippets of news that may allow them to have an edge. They advertise heavily in the tabloids.
Whereas in certain minor sports there may be only one odds compiler working for the bookmaker soccer is just too lucrative for this any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for the big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will offer odds on soccer, its a higher revenue turnover sport.
Such could be the turnover on the ever increasing IBO88 that Ladbrokes along with other such big bookmakers are willing to require a ‘big’ bet on the result of a match. This really is clearly great news for that arb maker. Which means that the highest bets they are going to accept on a bet are much higher.
There are many varieties of soccer bets. Firstly there is the match winner. This really is divided into 3 results, win, lose or draw. Then there are the first goal scorer as well as the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total numbers of yellow and red cards and so on. In reality anything where odds can be set to will offer a betting opportunity.
So what are the best soccer bets to look for? Firstly ignore predicting the match score, there are way too many outcomes. The very first goal scorer is a waste of time too. Both these types of bets are heavily advertised but they are for mug punters only, the odds consistently being offered are poor, the bookmakers regularly taking over 15% profit on the book. These bets have far too many possible outcomes. We are searching for bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
How you can play the soccer industry is to start accounts with European bookmakers as the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is a good source of sure bets. Both have strong opinions about this sport. They are going to price up the sport in their country and also the matches in foreign countries. Anything to produce a profit.
Italy, for instance is even more soccer crazy compared to UK, with newspapers focused on the sport. Everyone thinks they know best on this subject and egos get when it comes to sensible pricing. This is great news for people. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where since they may well have greater detailed expertise in the comings and goings in their own countries these are counting on third parties to collate information about their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is in midweek games between groups of different nationalities. There is a tendency in punters to get patriotic with regards to events where opposition are ‘foreign’. The probability of the home team get talked up and the odds could easily get skewed inside their favour because the weight of cash is overly wagered in their direction.
With that said the big bookmakers present an early price, they will likely often advertise it inside the national papers and generally stick to it. This means that a bench mark continues to be set and subsequent bookmakers may have a different opinion or make an effort to tempt money in their direction by offering different odds. If this were to happen the arb may be around for a large amount of time.
There are always discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers have a tendency to stick across the same price. They figure there exists safety in numbers. But remember these are ‘guessing’ what the odds needs to be just like you together with me. They are basing their opinion on past experience plus they might utilise statistical formulae however they still must form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can have it wrong along with other firms can require a totally different take a look at the result of a game. An entirely different view is only going to result in a slight variation within the odds but this can be enough to provide a sure bet profit.
Another approach is first of all the greater obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They are included in many different bookmakers around Europe. This may however add a complication. Although quite simple for finding arbs, the mere simple fact that you focus on these obscure matches will throw in the possibility that you will get spotted by the bookmakers should you concentrate your action here.
Also they are going to be hesitant to accept high maximum bets on matches where they may have done little research. On the other hand this is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You should weigh up the pros and cons of this strategy.
It is a fairly obscure area of betting and if someone would be to check your account over numerous months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on your account it could ring alarm bells. The motto is to dilute the bets by betting on as much different type of sport and events as is possible which means that your accounts have varied bets upon them. This shouldn’t become a problem as many different sports are ideal for sure bets.
The better prominent European ties will even produce arbs and they are not as likely to attract focus on you and the maximum bets will be higher.
As before you can not control if the individual bets win or lose but soccer is a 3 way result and so 2 losing bets to a single winning one can be of use on your own account. The point here is which not so many people are interested in the lower European divisions plus it may become clear that this betting pattern is a touch unusual. This is especially true should your bets for the maximum permitted.
Injury news can be considered a lucrative area in soccer. Consider it. When a player fails a late fitness test on a Saturday and that he will be the teams star striker than the will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned as much as play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play at the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am just not saying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. However the odds on the game clearly changed the minute this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert to this particular and altered prices as the money poured set for the opposition. Some were slow to react or will not have reacted whatsoever. Either way arbs were available. This sort of last minute frantic activity is especially keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair where you can serve as the punter or perhaps the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through among the many soccer web sites. Alternatively satellite television stations usually have comprehensive news coverage of all the games and they are quick to offer you any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, however, not all simultaneously, only one after the other so creating sure bets.
Within this scenario where charges are changing bet on the old price first. The new price is the one which wont change the previous cost is the one which is going to and so may be lost in case you are not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be about timing. When the odds are first produced or have reason to change then the arbs are more inclined to look.
Recently the English referees are becoming more lenient in the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for that total variety of bookings in a game. Some of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly yet others did not. This may impact the bet ranges applied for total bookings.
Let’s consider the red and yellow card market. In the event you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points for any yellow card and 25 points for a red. A player can get yourself a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting here is normally divided into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say odds of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 as well as over 30 points, the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a record of animosity between the teams where case chances are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this type of bet will never figure strongly in your plans. Plus it is unusual to find information being issued that will impact the total bookings bet. But a simple bit of news like the insurance policy for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to several arb. The final outcome will not be can be expected too much sure betting activity through the issuing of red and yellow cards nevertheless it not so difficult to check the odds.